VoteHub polls · 7.3 point Democratic lead (average of 6 polls) (as of 2026-10-04). Reference prices refresh hourly; between refreshes the price moves with member trades.
Each line settles YES if Democrats lead Republicans by at least that many points in VoteHub's published generic congressional ballot average at 5:00 p.m. ET on November 3, 2026. Settles from the VoteHub polling average (votehub.com/polls) published at 5:00 p.m. ET on the close date; the exact value and time used are recorded with the settlement. The opening price and an hourly reference price are an Event366 estimate from the current VoteHub average (a 3-point normal error to the close date); between refreshes the price moves with member trades. Trading closes at the stated deadline. Only free virtual coins are used; each winning contract pays one virtual coin.
VoteHub · published polling average ↗
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