YES if, on or before June 30, 2027, the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee announces a business-cycle peak dated in 2026. Prices are set by Event366's automated market maker and move with member trades; they are not polls, forecasts or exchange odds. Trading closes at the stated deadline. Only free virtual coins are used; each winning contract pays one virtual coin.
National Bureau of Economic Research · Business Cycle Dating Committee ↗
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