YES if the national turnout rate of the citizen voting-age population reported in the U.S. Election Assistance Commission's 2026 Election Administration and Voting Survey is 50.0% or higher; the Census Bureau's Voting and Registration report is the fallback source. Settles when the survey is published. Prices are set by Event366's automated market maker and move with member trades; they are not polls, forecasts or exchange odds. Trading closes at the stated deadline. Only free virtual coins are used; each winning contract pays one virtual coin.
U.S. Election Assistance Commission · Election Administration and Voting Survey ↗
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